Lookin At Lucky tops final three-year-old poll

Horseracing Betting Lines

06/07/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Preakness Stakes winner Lookin At Lucky came out in first again in the final NTRA Thoroughbred Three-Year-Old Poll of 2010. The colt was followed by Kentucky Derby champ Super Saver and Belmont Stakes winner Drosselmeyer.

Lookin At Lucky garnered 17 first-place votes and 197 points in the final balloting. That's an increase of one first-place vote and 10 points over last week's tally.

Super Saver, who along with Lookin At Lucky did not run in the Belmont, finished second with a single first-place vote and 159 points. The colt lost a first-place vote from last week.

Drosselmeyer had not received any points in the next-to-last poll, but finished third in the final one with 154 points. The Travers Stakes is on his schedule for the summer.

"We'd like to think, come Saratoga time, at the end of the meet, they run the Travers, and that maybe he'd have an opportunity to run in there," said Drosselmeyer's trainer Bill Mott. "That's what I'm hoping."

Preakness runner-up First Dude, third in the Belmont, moved up one to fourth in the poll with 119 points.

Belmont runner-up Fly Down jumped from 11th with 23 points to fifth with 93. Fly Down had defeated Drosselmeyer in the Dwyer Stakes last month.

Holding steady at sixth is the retired Eskendereya with one first-place vote and 71 points.

Filly Blind Luck came in second in Saturday's Hollywood Oaks and fell from fourth to seventh. She picked up one first-place vote and 64 points.

Ice Box, second in the Run for the Roses, finished eighth in the Belmont Stakes as the 9-5 favorite and dropped from third to eighth in the poll. He finished with 57 points.

Wood Memorial runner-up Jackson Bend is ninth with 51 points and Santa Anita Derby champ Sidney's Candy completes the top 10 with 28 points.

There were no significant changes in the NTRA Thoroughbred Poll, which continues through the Breeders' Cup in November.

Zenyatta, who will start in Sunday's Vanity Handicap, is the top vote-getter with 13 first-place votes and 184 points. Her lead has been reduced to two with Met Mile winner Quality Road receiving seven first-place votes and 182 points.

Lookin At Lucky is third with 123 points followed by Rachel Alexandra (75), Misremembered (71), Super Saver (59), Blame (54), Blind Luck (48), Unrivaled Belle (36) and Tuscan Evening (32).

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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